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Wind Crux LorraineTier 1

at 貓腳印東門店DTR店家冠軍賽

decks
3 (7.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17 9-5-3
overall winrate
61.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.1% avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1447 · median 1495 · range 1311–1536 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076 Q1 1223 Q3 1426 1542
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.8% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 44.6% -3.4
Fire Suzaku 7.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +4.9
Water Genbu 7.3% 0
Wind Seiryuu 7.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 40.0% -9.6
Fire Crux Mage 4.9% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 42.0% -7.7
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.8% +6.1
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.7% +5.9
Water Allies 4.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.8% -3.6
Water Tera Cleric 4.9% 0
Wind Allies 4.9% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 4.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.5% +2.4
Fire Aggro 2.4% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Fire Exia 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.2% +14.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Fire Neos 2.4% 0
Fire Rile 2.4% 0
Slimes 2.4% 0
Water Aetherwing 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.2
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.4% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Sudden Steel +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Rally the Peasants -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Four of Spades -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Prismatic Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Annul Spell +1.00 1 0 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/36898/archetypes/Wind Crux Lorraine